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Tight Bengal race; Assam BJP sweep, UDF comeback in Kerala, exit polls across 4 states decoded
Exit polls released after polling closed show mixed signals across West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala and Assam. Assam is projected to tilt to BJP, Kerala to the UDF, Tamil Nadu to DMK-INC, while Bengal forecasts vary by poll.
Why It Matters
With official counting set for May 4, these exit polls help shape expectations and narratives ahead of the final results and may influence campaign dynamics.
Timeline
8 Events
Counting of votes scheduled for May 4
April 29, 2026
Counting of votes for all four states, along with Puducherry, will take place on May 4, 2026.
West Bengal: P-Marq projection
April 29, 2026
P-Marq estimated 150-175 seats for the BJP and 118-138 for the TMC.
West Bengal: Matrize projection
April 29, 2026
Matrize indicated an advantage for the BJP in Bengal with 146-161 seats for BJP and 125-140 for the TMC.
West Bengal: People's Pulse projection
April 29, 2026
People's Pulse projected a Trinamool Congress (TMC) victory in Bengal, giving the ruling party 177 to 187 seats while BJP was projected to win 95 to 110 seats.
Kerala exit polls: UDF favored
April 29, 2026
In Kerala, projections favour the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF).
Tamil Nadu exit polls: DMK-INC alliance ahead
April 29, 2026
In Tamil Nadu, exit polls project the DMK-INC alliance to come out ahead.
Assam exit polls: BJP likely to sweep
April 29, 2026
Several exit polls project the BJP is likely to sweep Assam.
Exit polls released after polling ends
April 29, 2026
Following the second and last phase of voting for the West Bengal assembly elections, exit poll estimates for West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala and Assam were released.