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State prepares for El Niño-linked rainfall deficit

The Maharashtra government announces a planned response to an anticipated El Niño-driven rainfall deficit, with an estimated 8% shortfall and 92% of average rainfall. Measures include water conservation, district-level task forces, expedited water storage projects, and support for farming ponds, fodder, and fertiliser transparency.

Why It Matters

The plan aims to protect agriculture, drinking water, and livestock livelihoods in drought-prone regions amid an uncertain monsoon, drawing on past El Niño experiences to inform current preparations.

Timeline

10 Events

Positive Indian Ocean Dipole may mitigate El Niño impact

April 20, 2026

Officials noted that the development of a positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) could reduce the impact of El Niño to some extent.

Fertiliser distribution linked with AgriStack

April 20, 2026

Fertiliser distribution should be linked with AgriStack to improve transparency.

Fodder supply focus and cultivation in reservoir-backwater areas

April 20, 2026

Fadnavis asked the agriculture department to ensure adequate fodder to prevent livestock shortages and to promote fodder cultivation in reservoir-backwater areas, with emphasis on Solapur, Sangli, and parts of Marathwada where large livestock populations and fodder shortages are common.

Farm pond scheme promoted; materials to be provided

April 20, 2026

Agriculture minister Dattatraya Bharne said his department will promote the ‘farm pond scheme’; materials, particularly plastic lining for farm ponds, will be made available.

Expedite Jalyukt Shivar and related schemes

April 20, 2026

Fadnavis directed the administration to expedite work under the Jalyukt Shivar Abhiyan and the Galmukt Dharan-Galyukt Shivar Yojana, and to undertake water conservation work under the ‘G Ramji’ scheme.

CM orders district task forces and water-saving measures

April 20, 2026

Chief minister Devendra Fadnavis ordered formation of district-level task forces involving district collectors, irrigation officials, and representatives of local self-government bodies; stressed saving water and prudent use if rainfall drops below 90% of the average and that drinking water planning should consider the next summer as well.

Reservoir storage at 45% capacity; last year 38%

April 20, 2026

Officials from the water resources department stated reservoir storage is 45%, up from 38% last year; Fadnavis noted storage levels are higher than at the end of the 2015 monsoon.

Projected rainfall deficit and affected regions

April 20, 2026

Officials said the 8% shortfall would mean less water for crops and irrigation as reservoirs may not receive adequate supply; Marathwada and parts of North Maharashtra are likely to face greater deficits.

IMD forecast: Maharashtra to receive around 92% of average rainfall

April 20, 2026

An official from the India Meteorological Department presented that the state would get around 92% of its average annual rainfall; deficits are expected in Marathwada and parts of North Maharashtra, including Nashik, Jalgaon, Dhule, Nandurbar, and Ahilyanagar.

Historical reference: 2015 El Niño lessons

2015

The article notes that lessons from the 2015 El Niño helped save crops in 2018 through timely interventions.