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India may face 15-40 extra hot days annually over next 20 years: Study

CRAVIS projects India could see 15-40 additional hot days per year and 20-40 warmer nights annually over the next two decades, based on a 1981–2010 baseline. The platform uses decades of public data to provide district-level climate analysis and notes rising heat exposure in data centers and broader rainfall changes.

Why It Matters

The projections imply growing cooling demand, energy and health system stress, and broader economic implications, informing policy and corporate risk decisions.

Timeline

11 Events

Collaborative data commons emphasis

April 29, 2026

CRAVIS is described as a collaborative data commons inviting organisations and partners to contribute datasets and analyses to continuously expand and strengthen its intelligence base.

Heat risk baseline statistics

April 29, 2026

CEEW data show that more than 57% of districts and nearly 75% of the population are facing high to very high heat risk.

Monsoon context referenced

April 29, 2026

The findings come as India expects a below-normal monsoon due to the impending El Niño.

Policy and corporate risk emphasis

April 29, 2026

Union commerce and industry minister Piyush Goyal spoke at the CRAVIS launch, stressing that climate risks must be factored into corporate decision-making and highlighting India’s leadership in climate action since COP21.

Regional hotspots for rainfall and heat

April 29, 2026

Central and southern states such as Maharashtra, Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka and Tamil Nadu are expected to witness sharper increases in both rainfall intensity and hot days.

Increase in heavy rainfall days

April 29, 2026

CRAVIS projects that many districts could see 10 to 30 additional heavy rainfall days annually over the next two decades.

Delhi warmer nights projection

April 29, 2026

In Delhi, warmer nights (minimum temperatures above 20°C) are projected to rise from around 180 days per year at present to over 210 days in the next 25 years, with implications for peak electricity load and annual consumption.

Data center heat exposure

April 29, 2026

More than half of India’s 281 data centres are already exposed to temperatures above 35°C for more than 90 days annually; by 2040, nearly 90% could face similar heat exposure, increasing cooling requirements and operating costs.

Projection of warmer nights

April 29, 2026

Unusually warm nights could rise by 20 to 40 days annually across several regions during the same period.

Projection of extra hot days per year

April 29, 2026

CRAVIS projects that India could experience 15 to 40 more unusually hot days per year on average over the next two decades, compared with the 1981–2010 baseline.

CRAVIS platform launched

April 29, 2026

CRAVIS, an AI-powered climate intelligence platform developed by the Council on Energy, Environment and Water (CEEW), launched on April 29, 2026. It uses more than 40 years of public datasets from the India Meteorological Department (IMD), IITM Pune, and other institutions, with projections extending to 2070. The platform enables district-level analysis across 279 indicators under multiple emission scenarios and allows overlaying climate data with sectoral datasets such as power infrastructure, agriculture, land use and public health for integrated risk analysis. It is designed as a collaborative data commons inviting organisations and partners to contribute datasets and analyses.