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BJP wins Assam for a third consecutive term; Himanta calls it a historic win

The BJP secured an absolute majority in Assam, winning 82 of 126 seats and with allies NDA parties taking the combined tally to 102. Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma announced the next government would be formed through due process, while analysts attributed the result to a mix of Centre-led policies, development work, and delimitation changes. The election also saw notable wins and losses across castes, parties, and turncoats.

Why It Matters

This victory solidifies BJP’s control in Assam for a third consecutive term and could influence regional policy, delimitation-driven seat dynamics, and NDA strategy in the Northeast.

Timeline

10 Events

Historical context: BJP’s governance in Assam since 2016

May 4, 2026

The BJP first came to power in Assam in 2016, ending a 15-year Congress rule; the party had won 60 seats in both the 2016 and 2021 elections, forming governments with NDA allies, and now achieved an absolute majority on its own in 2026.

Delimitation’s impact in Assam

May 4, 2026

The 2023 delimitation exercise reduced Muslim-dominated seats from 35 to 22, a change cited by analysts as a factor in reducing vote-bank politics and influencing seat outcomes in Assam.

TMC performance in Mandia

May 4, 2026

Trinamool Congress (TMC) was expected to win one seat, with Sherman Ali Ahmed, a former Congress MLA, leading in Mandia.

Winners from AGP and BPF; AIUDF and UPPL results

May 4, 2026

AGP winners included Atul Bora (Bokakhat) and Keshab Mahanta (Kaliabar). BPF winners were Sewli Mohilary (Kokrajhar) and Rihon Daimari (Udalguri). AIUDF, once a major player, managed only two seats (Dalgaon and Binnakandi), its lowest tally since 2005. UPPL failed to win any seat, a sharp drop from six seats in 2021.

Notable BJP winners and turncoats

May 4, 2026

Sarma retained the Jalukbari seat for the sixth consecutive term. Other BJP winners included Pijush Hazarika (Jagiroad), Ranoj Pegu (Dhemaji), Chandra Mohan Patowary (Tihu), Ranjeet Kumar Dass (Bhawanipur-Sorbhog), Ajanta Neog (Golaghat), Jayanta Malla Baruah (Nalbari), and Bimal Borah (Tingkhong). Congress turncoats Bhupen Kumar Borah and Pradyut Bordoloi, who joined the BJP just days before the election, won in Bihpuria and Dispur respectively.

Congress performance and Raijor Dal tally

May 4, 2026

Congress contested as a unified opposition of six parties and won 19 seats, ten fewer than in 2021. Raijor Dal, allied with Congress, won two seats, bringing their combined tally to 21.

Analyst note: delimitation and party strategy

May 4, 2026

Kaustubh Deka, professor of political science at Dibrugarh University, said the massive win validates the BJP’s approach of creating beneficiaries through schemes and using identity politics. He also noted that the 2023 delimitation exercise, which redrew seats, could influence outcomes in other BJP-ruled states.

BJP state president Dilip Saikia on alliances and future

May 4, 2026

BJP state president Dilip Saikia said the results were on expected lines and that BJP had secured an absolute majority on its own, while indicating that the party would continue to work with NDA allies like in the past.

Himanta Biswa Sarma: historic win and government formation process

May 4, 2026

Chief minister Himanta Biswa Sarma described the results as a historic win and said the formation of the next government would follow due process, with the present government resigning and a new leader of the legislative party elected. He added that the state BJP president would discuss formalities with the party high command before staking a claim to form the next government and deciding on a swearing-in date.

ECI results update: BJP wins 69 of 90 contested seats, leads in 13; allies win/lead 10 seats each; combined tally 102

May 4, 2026

According to the Election Commission of India website at 7pm, the BJP won 69 seats out of 90 it contested and was leading in 13. Its allies, Asom Gana Parishad (AGP) and Bodoland Peoples Front (BPF), were winning and leading in 10 seats each, taking the combined tally to 102. BJP’s vote share was about 40%, while Congress stood at 29%.