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Axis My India exit poll: BJP-AGP-BPF NDA sweep predicted in Assam with 88-100 seats; counting on May 4
Axis My India exit poll forecasts a landslide for the NDA in Assam, with the BJP-AGP-BPF alliance edging toward 88-100 seats and the Congress-led alliance far behind. The poll also provides projected vote shares and notes that counting will occur on May 4.
Why It Matters
The poll suggests a strong BJP-led majority in Assam and potential implications for regional politics and national NDA standing. Exit polls, however, are not final results and carry uncertainty.
Timeline
4 Events
Congress targets Sarma over assets allegations; Sarma responds
April 29, 2026
The Congress targeted Sarma, claiming the chief minister and his wife had undisclosed assets abroad. Sarma rejected the allegations, saying the party circulated 'completely fabricated documents' to stave off poll defeat.
Sarma campaign promise on illegal entrants and Assamese identity
April 29, 2026
Assam Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma, who spearheaded the BJP campaign, promised to drive out illegal entrants from Bangladesh and to safeguard 'Jati-Mati-Bheti'—the Assamese culture, language and identity.
Vote counting scheduled for May 4 (report date: April 29, 2026)
April 29, 2026
The article notes that counting of votes will be conducted on May 4.
Axis My India exit poll projects BJP-AGP-BPF NDA victory in Assam: 88-100 seats
April 29, 2026
Axis My India exit poll projects the BJP-AGP-BPF alliance winning 88-100 seats in Assam, with the BJP alone forecast to win 70-80 seats, AGP 7-9 seats, and BPF 9-11 seats. The Congress-led alliance is projected to win 24-36 seats, Raijor Dal 1-4, AJP 1-2, CPI(M) 0-1, and IND (APHLC) 0-2. The BJP contested 90 seats, AGP 26, BPF 11; the Congress contested 99, Raijor Dal 13, AJP 10. The poll also predicts vote shares: NDA 48%, BJP 37%, AGP 7%, BPF 4%. The Congress-led alliance is predicted to secure 38% (Congress 31%, Raijor Dal 3%, AJP 3%, CPI(M) 1%, IND 1%), and AIUDF 2%. Health warning: exit polls often go wrong. Poll of Exit Polls aggregates NDA 92 seats and Congress-led 28 seats. Other polls cited include Janmat (87-98), JVC (88-101), and Matrize (85-95).